WFP

Programme Policy Officer (Disaster Risk Modeling Analyst) - SSA8

Kigali, RwandaKigali, Rwanda, The Republic Of1 May 2026
View & Apply Preparation GuideAdded: 17 April 2026

DUTIES AND RESPONSIBILITIES

DATA COLLECTION, PROCESSING AND ANALYSIS:

  • Coordinate extensive field data collection across various regions for ground truth verification of the models’ predictions. Coordinate with regional offices to streamline data gathering efforts.

  • Analyzing historical data, geological surveys, meteorological data, and other relevant information to understand the frequency, intensity, and distribution of different hazards.

  • Combine, overlay and display mathematical models generated by the system and process the risk quantifications,

  • Analyzes data from vulnerability of communities, infrastructure, and ecosystems to various hazards for understanding of their susceptibility to damage and disruption

DATA ANALYSIS, INTEGRATION AND MANAGEMENT:

  • Ensure seamless integration of data from stakeholder APIs. Regularly assess and troubleshoot data flow processes.

  • Analyzes hazard risk mapping and quantifying the exposure of assets, such as buildings, roads, and critical facilities, to different types of hazards.

MODEL CALIBRATION, THRESHOLDS AND EXPOSURE ANALYSES:

  • Conduct calibrations of disaster prediction models and provide risk probabilities and quantifications, and generate early warning messages,

  • Enhance the system calibration and ensure risk warning messages are accurate

  • Analyze model thresholds and outputs and develop suggestions for calibration parameters,

  • Organize calibration review meeting with appropriate modelling experts to ensure the improvement of the models’ predictive accuracy.

DASHBOARD DEVELOPMENT:

  • Design and implement informative dashboards for strategic decision-making. Continuously update dashboard features to reflect real-time data and insights.

  • Knowledge and skills aligned with combining hazard, vulnerability, and exposure information to estimate the potential impact of disasters including potential casualties, economic losses, and social disruption,

  • Update the dashboard information and explain system functionalities

MODEL ENHANCEMENT:

  • Innovate and apply improvements to existing disaster models.

  • Stay abreast of technological advancements and integrate best practices into model development processes.

  • Collaborate and coordinate various modeling experts to improve or upgrade existing models.

  • Investigates and assesses potential risk factors arising through different data sets and data analysis.

DISSEMINATION AND COMMUNICATION OF WARNING MESSAGES:

  • Generate system messages and analyze the risk probabilities

  • Oversee the Early warning generation and dissemination

  • Model risk based on different datasets generated by the system

  • Design and update the structure through which warning messages can be disseminated and communicated

  • Collect system information feedback from the emergency responders and selected local community levels and hazard risk monitoring

  • Coach, mentor and provide ToT trainings for EWS functionalities to the department staff and other key stakeholders

  • Maintain up to date risk exposure information and processing risk control and propose mitigation measures to the management team

  • Performs other related duties as assigned or requested

REQUIRED ACADEMIC QUALIFICATIONS AND EXPERTISE

  • A master’s degree in a relevant field in mathematical modeling, engineering physics, natural sciences including Geology and meteorology

  • 3yrs of extensive GIS skills and demonstrated work experience in data/numerical modeling

  • Experience in modeling for disaster risk management, meteorology, or environmental sciences will be highly valued

REQUIRED SKILLS EXPERIENCE

  • Advanced data analysis skills with the ability to interpret complex datasets and extract actionable insights.

  • Experience with predictive models is an added advantage.

  • Experience with Geographic Information Systems (GIS) for spatial data analysis and hazard risk mapping

  • Experience with geospatial technology including but not limited to ArcGIS, raster analysis or holding a GIS specialized Certification is highly advantageous

  • Experience with ArcGIS products is of advantage,

  • Solid Python coding skills for model development, data analysis, and automation of processes.

  • Model thresholds, system analysis and data automation 

COMPETENCIES & ABILITIES REQUIRED:

  • Leadership and management skills;

  • Planning and organizational skills;

  • Communication skills;

  • Strong IT skills, particularly in Financial software(SMART IFMIS);

  • Knowledge of human resources concepts, practices, policies, and procedures;

  • Knowledge of organizational structure, workflow, and operating procedures;

  • Knowledge in Monitoring & System Evaluation;

  • Time management Skills;

  • Interviewing Skills;

  • Judgment & Decision making skills;

  • Complex Problem solving;

  • Fluent in English, Kinyarwanda, and/ or French; knowledge of all is an advantage

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